Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $534,631$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{591,955.7}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 155.1)}}\) (asimptote \(591,955.7\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $30,712$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,322.6}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 178.4)}}\) (asimptote \(39,322.6\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $72,559$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $304,876$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,415,230.2}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 283.9)}}\) (asimptote \(1,415,230.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,263$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,219$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $430,678$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{513,825.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 182.2)}}\) (asimptote \(513,825.0\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,317$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,317.4}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 153.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10,317.4\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $56,829$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $110,594$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{97,810.7}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 129.9)}}\) (asimptote \(97,810.7\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,114$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,190.6}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 143.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,190.6\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $13,080$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $78,224$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85,015.4}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 163.0)}}\) (asimptote \(85,015.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $302$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{293.2}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 142.2)}}\) (asimptote \(293.2\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,239$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $52,526$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{46,310.9}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 122.0)}}\) (asimptote \(46,310.9\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,111$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,176.8}{1 + 10^{-0.847 (t - 106.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,176.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,552$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $116,832$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{117,140.1}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 147.0)}}\) (asimptote \(117,140.1\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $710$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{624.4}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 85.1)}}\) (asimptote \(624.4\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,516$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $342,583$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{335,797.8}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 105.8)}}\) (asimptote \(335,797.8\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,201$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,231.4}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 121.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,231.4\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,487$ on 2020-10-19